Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

News

Iowa: Who will survive?

Staff Report

No matter who wins, Iowa will reshape the Republican presidential race one week from today – and almost certainly in ways that don’t adhere to any semblance of a traditional political script.

All the candidates dream finishing at the top of the pack, but where the losers place and whether they drop out or valiantly trudge ahead could be as significant as who comes in first.

The most recent example from political history: the narrowest of margins separated Fred Thompson and John McCain in the 2008 caucuses, but because Thompson barely claimed third he found a rationale to go forward, skip New Hampshire and make a final stand in South Carolina. That mattered – Thompson’s staying in the race resulted in a split conservative vote in South Carolina which snuffed out Mike Huckabee’s chances at the nomination and enabled McCain to score a critical win and boost before Florida.

In other words: the post-Iowa decision of a candidate who is otherwise politically dead can not only be relevant but even determinative.

And in this primary, where the unforeseen has been the norm, most every candidate has a chance to be an influential supporting actor if not the glamorous lead.

Read More…

Advertisement. Scroll to continue reading.
Staff
Written By

The Alabama Political Reporter is a daily political news site devoted to Alabama politics. We provide accurate, reliable coverage of policy, elections and government.

DIG DEEPER

Featured Opinion

"In a last-ditch effort, they yelled 'fire!' in a crowded theater. There must be consequences for that."

Featured Opinion

"We’ve all now heard a desperate and maniacal president say a bunch of quiet parts out loud."

Featured Opinion

"Marshall’s involvement in an anti-democratic heist of a legal election is an embarrassment to himself and to Alabama."

News

During the interview, he blamed most of the uproar on “liberal, white women” who have “attacked” him on social media.