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Latest Alabama poll give glimpse into election future

Brandon Moseley

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By Brandon Moseley
Alabama Political Reporter

A stunning 59% of the Alabama electorate polled say that they are voting for Mitt Romney in the November 6th election.  Another 1% of the electorate answered that they were leaning towards voting for the Massachusetts Republican.  Only 34% of those polled say that they are committed to reelecting President Barack H. Obama in November.  Another 2% of those polled say that they are leaning towards voting for President Obama.  4% are uncertain how they will vote.  In 2008 Republican Senator John McCain won Alabama easily with 60.8% of the vote.  Then Illinois Senator Obama won only 38.8% of the Alabama vote.  Based on the Alabama Farmer’s Federation poll, the President appears to have actually lost ground.  Nationally the Real Clear Politics running average has President Obama polling at 47% and Romney trailing with 45%.

The voters polled were not satisfied with President Obama’s job performance.  51% of those polled said that they were very dissatisfied with the job the President has done.  Another 9% reported that they were somewhat dissatisfied.  Only 22% of Alabamians polled were very satisfied with the President’s job performance.  Another 11% reported being somewhat satisfied. 7% reported being neither satisfied nor dissatisfied with the President’s job performance.

Similarly 54% of the Alabama electorate said that were voting to return former Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (R) back to head the state’s highest court.  Another 3% reported that they were leaning towards voting for Judge Roy Moore.   Only 33% reported that they intended to vote for Pelham Democrat Harry Lyon.  Another 5% reported that they are leaning towards voting for Mr. Lyon. 5% reported being uncertain as to who they will vote for.

The news was not all bad for Alabama Democrats.  The last Democratic Party statewide elected officeholder is running virtually even with her Republican challenger.  44% of voters in the poll responded that they are voting to reelect the 74 year old Lucy Baxley as President of the Alabama Public Service Commission (PSC).  Only 42% are committed to voting for PSC member Twinkle Andress Cavanaugh.  Another 4% say that they are leaning towards voting to reelect President Baxley.  6% reported leaning towards Commissioner Cavanaugh.  Factoring in the leans toward responders that would make it 48 to 48% with only 4% reporting that they are uncertain how they are going to vote.

Only 5% of the poll sample thought that their state legislator was doing an excellent job.  27% reported that their state legislator was doing a good job.  45% reported that their legislator was doing a fair job and 13% reported that their legislator was doing a poor job.  10% reported being uncertain.

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The news was not good for supporters of the September 18th Constitutional Amendment (CA).  52% of the sampled electorate chose ‘Borrowed money will never be paid back, cut spending instead while only 38% chose ‘Utilize the money as an alternative to raising taxes in tough economic times.’  10% of the sample said that they were uncertain.  On September 18th voters are being asked to let the legislature raid $467 million from the state trust fund to pad the Alabama General fund spending for just three years.  Supporters of the CA say that the money is needed to pay Alabama doctors and hospitals and keep Alabama prisoners behind bars.  Opponents of the CA say that the state needs to “right size” it’s spending and leave the money in the trust fund for future generations of Alabamians.

69% support the sales tax exemption for farming supplies.  23% are opposed.  72% believe resources for career tech programs will create more jobs 72%.  18% said no.  74% said that the state needs more money for rural roads and bridges.  18% said no.  75% favor tax credits for corporations that hire Alabama citizens.  Only 17% are opposed.

When asked to identify the single major problem facing the United States 33% answered Unemployment.  Only 16% answered the Economy, 15% chose debt, deficit & spending, 14% chose politics, candidates, 7% answered health care, Obamacare, and 15% selected others / uncertain.

The poll was completed July 26th and was conducted by Research Consultants.  Research Consultants is a division of Creative Communications, Inc. (CCI). CCI is wholly owned by the Alabama Farmers Federation.  The sample size for the poll was 600.  The release identifies the sample as voters and does not distinguish between registered voters and likely voters.  The release says that the poll was representative of the entire state based on geography, age and race.  74% of those polled were white, 25% were black and 1% were other.

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Brandon Moseley is a senior reporter with eight and a half years at Alabama Political Reporter. You can email him at [email protected] or follow him on Facebook. Brandon is a native of Moody, Alabama, a graduate of Auburn University, and a seventh generation Alabamian.

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Alabama Democrats launch “biggest” turnout campaign in their history

“Our organizers and volunteers have been working relentlessly to turn out the vote,” the Alabama Democratic Party said.

Brandon Moseley

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(STOCK PHOTO)

The Alabama Democratic Party said Friday that they have launched the biggest get-out-the-vote campaign in their history in a bid to re-elect U.S. Sen. Doug Jones.

“We’ve made over 3.5 million voter contacts this election cycle,” the ADP wrote in an email to supporters. “Today, we’ve started the biggest GOTV campaign in our history. We will be contacting voters around the clock from now until Election Day. As it stands, we have enough money to reach about 91 percent of the voters in our GOTV universe.”

“Our organizers and volunteers have been working relentlessly to turn out the vote,” the ADP said. “They are contacting voters in all 67 Alabama counties, making sure every Democrat has a plan to vote on Nov. 3.”

On Saturday, Jones will make several campaign stops throughout the Birmingham area to encourage voters to turn out on Election Day. He will make stops in his hometown of Fairfield as well as in Bessemer, Pratt City and East Lake.

Jefferson County is the Alabama Democratic Party’s main stronghold in the conservative state of Alabama. Mobilizing Democratic voters to come out, especially in Jefferson County, is essential if they are to have any hope of re-electing Jones, who has been trailing in public polling.

Jones’s shocking upset of Alabama Chief Justice Roy Moore in the 2017 special election is the only statewide race that the Alabama Democratic Party has won since 2008.

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Jones had a decided advantage in money in that contest to saturate the airwaves and fund a GOTV effort to reach Democratic voters in the special election.

The Jones campaign is trying to build upon that success, but it is an uphill battle and he’s widely viewed as the most vulnerable Democratic senator up for re-election in 2020.

This time, Jones’s Republican opponent is not hamstrung by allegations of sexual misconduct and Trump is at the top of this ticket. The president remains popular in Alabama even if his support has waned in some other states.

Jones needs both an unusually strong Democratic turnout and for a large number of Trump voters to split their ticket and vote for Jones instead of his Republican opponent, Tommy Tuberville.

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Roughly half of Alabamians are straight-ticket voters.

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Senate Pro Tem Del Marsh won’t seek re-election in 2022

Marsh said it would be up to the Republican caucus to decide whether he’ll remain pro tem for the last two years of his term.

Eddie Burkhalter

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Senate President Pro Tem Del Marsh, R-Anniston.

Alabama Senate President Pro Tempore Del Marsh, R-Anniston, the top Republican member of Alabama’s upper chamber, will not seek re-election in 2022. 

Marsh told The Anniston Star, which first reported the story, that he will also not run for governor or the U.S. Senate in 2022 or in the future.

Marsh’s decision to not run again will bring an end to a 24-year career in state politics. Marsh, 64, made school choice a focus of his legislative work over the years, championing charter schools and wrote the Senate’s version of the 2014 Alabama Accountability Act, which allows for tax credits for those who make donations to scholarships for students at private schools. 

During the COVID-19 pandemic, Marsh found himself on the other side of public health experts’ understanding of the disease, suggesting to a reporter that he’d actually like to see more people become infected to build the state’s overall immunity to the virus, a theory that public health experts say would lead to thousands of unnecessary deaths and many more illnesses. 

Marsh also battled Gov. Kay Ivey over the expenditure of $1.8 billion in federal coronavirus relief aid over the summer, suggesting early on that the state should spend $200 million of that money on a new Statehouse, which drew widespread public condemnation.

The Alabama Legislature later approved Ivey’s plan to spend the federal aid, which does not include a new Statehouse. 

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Marsh explained to AL.com on Friday that during his tenure, the Republican-controlled Legislature has put Alabama’s fiscal well-being on solid ground. 

“Fiscally, I think we’re as strong as a state as we’ve ever been. I think this COVID has shown how financially secure the state is through our policies. I feel very good about our accomplishments,” he told the outlet. “But there comes a time for everything and I just want to make it clear that I do not intend to seek election in 2022.”

Marsh said it would be up to the Republican caucus to decide whether he’ll remain pro tem for the last two years of his term.

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Alabama Power reports progress on restoring power following Hurricane Zeta

Alabama Power said 131,000 outages remain and that the utility provider expects to have service restored to 95 percent of affected customers by Tuesday.

Brandon Moseley

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Crews work to restore power after Hurricane Zeta. (VIA ALABAMA POWER COMPANY)

Alabama Power said Saturday that its crews have restored power to 373,000 customers following Hurricane Zeta, which caused more than 504,000 outages at peak.

As of Saturday at 2:12 p.m., Alabama Power said 131,000 outages remain and that the utility provider expects to have service restored to 95 percent of affected customers by Tuesday.

 

 

Hurricane Zeta hit Louisiana as a category two hurricane on Wednesday before ripping through Mississippi and Alabama. There is an enormous amount of damage across the footprint of the Southern Company, the parent of Alabama Power.

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Alabama Power has said the impact of the storm is similar to what the company experienced during Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and the April 27, 2011 tornadoes.

Because Zeta was so fast-moving, it did not lose much of its strength as it moved inland. Much of the state experienced tropical-storm-force winds. There is significant, widespread damage throughout the state.

Alabama Power is having to deal with downed poles and trees that knocked out wires. The company’s crews are working with more than 1,700 lineworkers and support personnel from 19 states and Canada.

Alabama Power said that its crews are working quickly and safely to restore power and will continue to work on restoring power over the weekend.

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Alabama Power storm team evaluators, line crews and support personnel worked throughout the day Thursday and Friday assessing damage and repairing poles and wires damaged in the storm.

Crews are working diligently and as quickly and safely as possible to restore service, the company said.

Remember that there are line crews working along roadways all across the state. Cities, counties and homeowners are still working on debris removal so drive slowly and give yourself more time to get where you are going while out.

Alabama Power warns everyone to stay away from downed power lines, as well as fallen trees and tree limbs that could be hiding downed lines. Always assume a downed line is still energized and poses a potentially deadly hazard.

If you spot a downed line, call Alabama Power at 1-800-888-2726 or local law enforcement and wait for trained crews to perform the potentially dangerous work of removing the line or any surrounding debris.

Hurricane season lasts until the end of November.

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Governor meets with VIP fourth grader

The discussion was described as “wide-ranging and productive.” The governor and McGriff covered everything from school to their love of dogs.

Brandon Moseley

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Gov. Kay Ivey and fourth grade student Cate McGriff. (GOVERNOR'S OFFICE PHOTO)

Alabama Governor Kay Ivey invited a special guest to meet with her in the governor’s office on Friday: fourth grade student Cate McGriff, known for her impeccable impersonation of the governor.

The discussion was described as “wide-ranging and productive.” The governor and McGriff covered everything from school to their love of dogs.

Ivey asked McGriff what her favorite subject in school is, the governor’s office said. McGriff replied that it was math. She also told the governor that she wanted to attend Auburn University just like Ivey did.

Ivey asked Cate what she wanted to be when she grows up after she attends Auburn. McGriff said that she wants to be an engineer.

Ivey advised her to keep working hard on her math.

Gov. Kay Ivey and fourth grade student Cate McGriff. (GOVERNOR’S OFFICE PHOTO)

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Ivey shared that when she was a young intern for Gov. Lurleen Wallace, the only other woman to serve as governor in Alabama history, she had the opportunity to sit behind the governor’s desk. Ivey then asked Cate if she wanted to sit behind the desk, and they recreated the governor’s own photo behind Gov. Lurleen Wallace’s desk.

Cate and Ivey both were wearing their red “power suits” and Auburn face masks.

McGriff was joined by her parents and two siblings, Claire and Sam.

The McGriff family frequently tune in to the governor’s regular COVID press conferences. Cate also was given the chance to stand behind the lectern in the Old House Chamber.

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Governors frequently meet with very important people including presidents, CEOs, congressmen, senators, scientists, university presidents, state legislators, county commissioners, economic developers and fourth graders.

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