O.K. So, many of the voters I talk with believe that U.S. Sen. Doug Jones, D-Alabama, stands little chance of being re-elected this year to his seat.
Former Sen. Jeff Sessions or U.S. Rep. Bradley Byrne or the former Auburn football coach or the twice-ousted chief justice who at one time stalked teenaged girls or one of the others will win.
Why? Simply because they are the Republicans.
But Jones has already shown that thinking to be mistaken. He did, after all, win the seat a couple years ago, against a popular Republican, the man who at one time stalked teenaged girls. That one.
Nobody is saying Jones will win big, or that it’ll be an easy campaign.
Yet, he can win. And as APR’s Jessa Reid Bolling reported Thursday, Jones may get some important help.
The Progressive Turnout Project (PTP) is focusing on Democratic Party voters in 16 states with a six-month canvassing programs intended to increase voter turnout among Democrats.
Don’t underestimate such efforts on behalf of Jones. Bolling reports the group is spending $45 million in get-out-the-vote efforts in states where certain races are predicted to be close.
The canvassing program begins in May, and will focus on “low propensity, low information Democratic voters who the party has struggled to reach in key swing states ahead of the 2020 election.”
Jones won before with a big push from African-American voters and, specifically, African-American women voters. Combine those voters with an all-out effort to turn out even more Democrats for this fall, and Jones’ chances are certainly better.
A majority of the uninvolved Democrats PTP is targeting are African-Americans, but there is also a push for younger voters and women.
PTP is using science to help decide which voters’ doors to target, and with PTP’s in-depth, canvass-focused approach, including a field office in Birmingham, they will employ eight staff to knock on 85,800 doors and engage with those low propensity and low information voters in Alabama from May until Election Day, Bolling reports.
And why not vote for Jones over one of the Republicans? The state Republican Party is bending over backward defending Donald Trump over charges of corruption. Clearly Trump has crossed just about every line of honesty and decency of any president in, perhaps, the history of the country. He’s told more than 16,000 lies or misinformation, as tracked by the mainstream media, during his three years in office.
Windmills cause cancer? Millions of voters cast illegal votes in the 2016 election? Puerto Rico is “an island surrounded by water, big water, ocean water”? OK, that’s true, but what an odd, low-information way to say it.
Too, Sessions has a lot of baggage. He was fired by Trump as U.S. Attorney General, though he refuses to say anything critical of the president even now, as Trump is being impeached. Instead, like every other Alabama Republican running for office, Sessions prefers to suck up to him. Byrne is seen by many voters as little more than a Trump toady. Indeed, the entire Republican field is toadying up to Trump.
Tommy Tuberville, the former Auburn coach, was moderately successful on the football field, but the political field is completely different. Jones needs no learning curve.
And Roy Moore, the teen-stalking former chief justice, has become basically a parody of himself.
So with a concerted effort, and we’re going to see that from Jones this year, the incumbent does have a real chance. The Progressive Turnout Project’s efforts give Jones a fighting chance.
Joey Kennedy, a Pulitzer Prize winner, writes a column each week for Alabama Political Reporter. Email: [email protected]