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Polling shows Moore maintaining lead over Jones

Embattled Alabama Chief Justice Roy Moore gets a standing ovation from supporters as he arrives for his ethics trial at the Alabama Court of the Judiciary at the Alabama Judicial Building in Montgomery, Ala., on Wednesday September 28, 2016.

By Brandon Moseley
Alabama Political Reporter

Two new polls show that ahead of Tuesday’s election, Roy Moore (R) is leading Doug Jones (D) for the U.S. Senate seat.

In Gravis’s previous poll,  Democrat Jones was leading by three points.  On Saturday, Gravis’s new poll has Republican Moore leading by four points.  Gravis Marketing surveyed 1,254 likely voters.  The poll was conducted from December 5th thru December eighth and has a margin of error of 2.8 percent.

Recent sexual misconduct allegations have hurt Moore’s favorability rating.  According to Gravis, 45 percent of likely voters say that they have an unfavorable opinion of Moore while 4 percent said that they have a somewhat unfavorable view of Moore.  Of those polled, 31 percent still have a very favorable view of Moore and 14 percent have a somewhat favorable view.

Jones meanwhile is viewed as very unfavorable by 43 percent. Seven percent have a somewhat unfavorable view of Jones. 34 percent have a very favorable view of Jones and 11 percent have a somewhat favorable opinion.

In the Gravis poll, 49 percent support Moore, 45 percent support Jones, and six percent are still undecided on who to vote for.

The Republican Trafalgar Group also had Moore beating Jones.  In their poll Moore had a five point lead going into Tuesday’s special election.

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The Trafalgar Group spoke with 1419 people.  47.63 percent said that they were voting for Roy Moore.  Another 3.25 percent answered that they are leaning to voting for Moore.  Just 40.46 percent answered that they are voting for Doug Jones.  Another 5.31 percent answered that they are leaning toward voting for Jones.  3.35 percent say they are voting for someone else.  The final tabulation has it 50.88 percent for Moore to 45.77 percent for Jones.

Moore has consistently been leading in most of the polls.  The Washington Post/Schlarr poll (which showed a Jones lead) is the only outlier. The other seven polls we are aware of in the last two weeks show Moore up by between three and seven points.

On Saturday and Sunday, Doug Jones was campaigning in downtown Birmingham with U.S. Rep. Terri A. Sewell (D-Selma), and Sen. Cory Booker (D-New Jersey).

“Well I am in the United States Senate & I don’t want to be next to you wondering if Senate Pages will be safe from your advances,” Booker tweeted to Moore. “Your bigotry, ignorance, and hate has no place in the Senate. I’m going to my ancestral home state of Alabama today to lend a hand in defeating you.”

President Donald Trump was in Pensacola, Florida, on Friday and he said, “We need Roy Moore.”

Breitbart News head Steve Bannon and Congressman Louie Gohmert (R-Texas) will join Moore for an election eve “Drain the Swamp” Rally in Midland City on Monday night.

Polls open at 7:00 a.m. on Tuesday and close at 7:00 p.m.

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Brandon Moseley is a former reporter at the Alabama Political Reporter.

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