Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

News

Paul maintains his lead in Iowa

Staff Report

The last week and a half has brought little change in the standings for the Iowa Republican caucus: Ron Paul continues to lead Mitt Romney by a modest margin, 24-20. Newt Gingrich is in 3rd at 13% followed by Michele Bachmann at 11%, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum at 10%, Jon Huntsman at 4%, and Buddy Roemer at 2%.

Paul’s strength in Iowa continues to depend on a coalition of voters that’s pretty unusual for a Republican in the state.  Romney leads 22-20 with those who are actually Republicans, while Paul has a 39-12 advantage with the 24% who are either independents or Democrats. GOP caucus voters tend to skew old, and Romney has a 34-12 advantage with seniors. But Paul’s candidacy looks like it’s going to attract an unusual number of younger voters to the caucus this year, and with those under 45 he has a 35-11 advantage on Romney. The independent/young voter combo worked for Barack Obama in securing an unexpectedly large victory on the Democratic side in 2008 and it may be Paul’s winning equation in 2012.

Read More…

Written By

The Alabama Political Reporter is a daily political news site devoted to Alabama politics. We provide accurate, reliable coverage of policy, elections and government.

DIG DEEPER

Elections

State Sen. Priscilla Dunn won't seek re-election in 2022, opening up a Democratic senate seat.

Featured Opinion

"Unless voters force candidates to focus on meaningful issues, we'll continue to get unqualified lawmakers who use division to win."

Featured Opinion

"The For the People Act could have started to make that better. But better for all Americans is not part of the Republican agenda."

Opinion

"The list of problems with this proposal goes on and on and, although the proposal appears to be at a dead end now, it...